Shawver Mill is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Shawver Mill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shawver Mill, ~13% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shawver Mill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Shawver Mill leans more Republican than 63 of 116 neighbors.
Shawver Mill runs about 71 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Shawver Mill is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Shawver Mill. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+48), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Shawver Mill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shawver Mill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Shawver Mill live in densely developed areas, about 23 points below the Virginia average of 26%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Shawver Mill sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 85% of cities). Shawver Mill runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Shawver Mill, VA does.
Why turnout in Shawver Mill looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Shawver Mill own their home, about 17 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Grapefield, VA R+68
- Springville, VA R+57
- Gratton, VA R+59
- St. Clair, VA R+50
- Bluefield, VA R+47
- Wittens Mills, VA R+65
- Bastian, VA R+70
- Tiptop, VA R+71
- Falls Mills, VA R+48
- Ceres, VA R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dike, TX R+78
- Indiantown, MI R+29
- Hatcher, KY R+59
- Binford, ND R+53
- New Grand Chain, IL R+62
- Olds, IA R+46
- Oldham, SD R+47
- Montezuma, NY R+39
- Kirschnerville, NY R+37
- St. Croix, IN R+52
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.