Shay is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Shay typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shay, ~13% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Shay leans more Republican than 106 of 179 neighbors.
Shay runs about 57 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Shay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Shay drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in Shay are family households, above 98% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Shay, PA sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Shay looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Shay is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ford City, PA R+43
- Dog Town, PA R+59
- Christy Manor, PA R+55
- Ford Cliff, PA R+42
- Pyrra, PA R+60
- Mc Grann, PA R+46
- Manorville, PA R+45
- Garretts Run, PA R+45
- Applewold, PA R+42
- Kittanning, PA R+49
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shockoe, VA R+16
- Lilbert, TX R+72
- Lilliesville, VT D+9
- Cornish, OK R+75
- Beccaria, PA R+62
- Chester, NE R+69
- Shacklesville, AL R+67
- West Bainbridge, NY R+40
- Burns, MO R+62
- Eadsville, KY R+63
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.