Shinnecock Hills leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 90% of adults in Shinnecock Hills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shinnecock Hills, ~49% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shinnecock Hills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Shinnecock Hills leans more Democratic than 34 of 55 neighbors.
Shinnecock Hills runs about 5 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Why Shinnecock Hills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shinnecock Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 98% of residents in Shinnecock Hills live in densely developed areas, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Shinnecock Hills sits in the top quarter (about 69%, in the top fraction of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in Shinnecock Hills have never been married, above 85% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Shinnecock Hills, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Shinnecock Hills looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Shinnecock Hills is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in Shinnecock Hills own their home, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Shinnecock Hills have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hampton Bays, NY R+6
- Southampton, NY D+14
- North Sea, NY D+7
- East Quogue, NY R+8
- Flanders, NY R+11
- Jamesport, NY R+3
- Laurel, NY R+7
- Watermill, NY D+12
- Mattituck, NY R+3
- Quogue, NY R+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zingara, GA R+41
- Dedham, ME R+14
- Sandy Valley, PA R+62
- Toeterville, IA R+42
- Donaldson, WV R+72
- South Carver, MA R+5
- Mountain Grove, PA R+50
- Duke, MO R+61
- Novohrad, TX R+71
- Oatman, AZ R+38
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.