South Carver is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 70% of adults in South Carver typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Carver, ~34% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Carver compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South Carver leans more Republican than 63 of 97 neighbors.
South Carver runs about 30 points more Republican than Massachusetts as a whole. Massachusetts leans Democratic overall, while South Carver is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within South Carver. The southwest side is the most split-leaning (R+14) and the east side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 14 points.
Why South Carver leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Carver, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
South Carver votes against the grain of Massachusetts. Massachusetts leans Democratic overall, while South Carver runs about 30 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; South Carver, MA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in South Carver looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. South Carver is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 98% of households in South Carver own their home, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tihonet, MA R+14
- Plymouth, MA D+7
- Manomet, MA D+21
- White Island Shores, MA R+4
- Chiltonville, MA R+5
- Carver, MA R+15
- East Wareham, MA R+4
- Wareham, MA R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zingara, GA R+41
- Novohrad, TX R+71
- Shinnecock Hills, NY D+7
- New Point, MO R+66
- Mountain Grove, PA R+50
- Mountain, ND R+55
- Kiousville, OH R+49
- Wallula, WA R+57
- Way, MS R+15
- Iron Mountain, MO R+68
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.