Tuckahoe leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Tuckahoe typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tuckahoe, ~48% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tuckahoe compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tuckahoe leans more Democratic than 65 of 84 neighbors.
Tuckahoe runs about 7 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tuckahoe. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+19) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+2), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Tuckahoe leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tuckahoe, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 91% of residents in Tuckahoe live in densely developed areas, about 55 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Tuckahoe sits in the top quarter (about 57%, above 96% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 32% of adults in Tuckahoe have never been married, above 79% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Tuckahoe, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Tuckahoe looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Tuckahoe is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Innsbrook, VA D+24
- Short Pump, VA D+14
- Laurel, VA D+30
- Lakeside, VA D+32
- Bon Air, VA D+17
- Glen Allen, VA D+18
- Richmond, VA D+19
- Wyndham, VA D+11
- Manchester, VA D+29
- Manakin-Sabot, VA R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Draper, UT R+12
- Cerritos, CA D+20
- Florin, CA D+25
- Bel Air South, MD Even
- San Benito, TX R+3
- Bloomfield Hills, MI D+13
- Country Club, FL R+22
- Grovetown, GA Even
- Florence, KY R+19
- Haltom City, TX R+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.