Smiths Bend is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Smiths Bend typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smiths Bend, ~10% vote Democratic, ~72% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Smiths Bend compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Smiths Bend leans more Republican than 44 of 48 neighbors.
Smiths Bend runs about 62 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Smiths Bend leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Smiths Bend. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Smiths Bend, TX sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Smiths Bend looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Smiths Bend is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Aquilla, TX R+78
- Laguna Park, TX R+65
- Wiggins, TX R+75
- Menlow, TX R+72
- Lakewood Harbor, TX R+74
- Vaughan, TX R+74
- Gholson, TX R+67
- Peoria, TX R+76
- Whitney, TX R+66
- China Spring, TX R+72
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Chapel Hill, TX R+63
- Hiltons, VA R+72
- Pettit, OK R+46
- Rocky Ford, NC Even
- Cool Spring, SC R+72
- South Corning, NY R+8
- Pioche, NV R+65
- Ackworth, IA R+38
- Wann, OK R+71
- Norfork, AR R+59
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.