South Aberdeen leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 73% of adults in South Aberdeen typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Aberdeen, ~28% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Aberdeen compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South Aberdeen leans more Republican than 22 of 41 neighbors.
South Aberdeen runs about 42 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while South Aberdeen is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within South Aberdeen. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 15 points.
Why South Aberdeen leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Aberdeen, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 90% of residents in South Aberdeen drive to work alone, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 74%. South Aberdeen runs against the grain of Washington, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; South Aberdeen, WA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in South Aberdeen looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in South Aberdeen own their home, about 19 points above the Washington average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Junction City, WA R+18
- Cosmopolis, WA R+18
- Aberdeen, WA Even
- Hoquiam, WA R+5
- Markham, WA R+30
- Central Park, WA R+18
- Woodlawn, WA R+16
- South Montesano, WA R+15
- Aberdeen Gardens, WA R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Caratunk, ME R+27
- Key, TX R+77
- North Cohocton, NY R+47
- Stryker, MT R+43
- Crescent, GA D+11
- Modest Town, VA R+3
- Midland City, AZ R+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.