Carver leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Carver typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carver, ~36% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carver compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carver leans more Republican than 102 of 112 neighbors.
Carver runs about 40 points more Republican than Massachusetts as a whole. Massachusetts leans Democratic overall, while Carver is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Carver leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carver, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Carver votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 25%, well below the Massachusetts average of 50%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Carver runs against the grain of Massachusetts, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Carver, MA does.
Why turnout in Carver looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Carver is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Carver have completed high school, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Carver, MA R+5
- Middleborough, MA R+17
- Tihonet, MA R+14
- South Carver, MA R+5
- Plympton, MA R+14
- Middleboro, MA R+12
- South Middleboro, MA R+19
- Plymouth, MA D+7
- Chiltonville, MA R+5
- Kingston, MA D+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kutztown, PA R+13
- Louisa, VA R+26
- Fife, WA D+14
- Mantua, NJ R+6
- Heber Springs, AR R+58
- West Haverstraw, NY D+17
- Playa Del Rey, CA D+44
- Lewiston, NY R+11
- Clinton, NY D+5
- Castle Pines North, CO R+8
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.