South Coconut Grove leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 72% of adults in South Coconut Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Coconut Grove, ~45% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Coconut Grove compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, South Coconut Grove is the most Democratic-leaning.
South Coconut Grove runs about 39 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while South Coconut Grove is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within South Coconut Grove. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+65) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 69 points.
Why South Coconut Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Coconut Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 66% of adults in South Coconut Grove hold a bachelor's degree, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 28%. South Coconut Grove runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; South Coconut Grove, Miami, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in South Coconut Grove looks the way it does
Turnout in South Coconut Grove sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Twain, Iowa City, IA D+44
- Harvest Bend, Houston, TX D+5
- Rossville, Staten Island, NY R+57
- Los Angeles Heights-Keystone, San Antonio, TX D+36
- South Beaverton, Beaverton, OR D+41
- Bagley Downs, Vancouver, WA D+20
- Mount Washington, Pittsburgh, PA D+40
- Avalon Highlands, Chicago, IL D+84
- Crescent Hill, Louisville, KY D+46
- Bemiss, Spokane, WA D+2
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.