North Coconut Grove leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 72% of adults in North Coconut Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Coconut Grove, ~40% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Coconut Grove compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, North Coconut Grove leans more Democratic than 7 of 10 neighbors.
North Coconut Grove runs about 26 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while North Coconut Grove is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within North Coconut Grove. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+21) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 19 points.
Why North Coconut Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Coconut Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 76% of adults in North Coconut Grove hold a bachelor's degree, about 48 points above the U.S. average of 28%. North Coconut Grove runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; North Coconut Grove, Miami, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in North Coconut Grove looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. North Coconut Grove is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Glen Park, Gary, IN D+79
- North Hayward, Hayward, CA D+42
- Tall Timbers, New Orleans, LA D+65
- East Central, Spokane, WA D+24
- Walker Mill, District Heights, MD D+86
- West A, Lincoln, NE D+2
- Groveton, Alexandria, VA D+49
- Lower Roseville, Newark, NJ D+48
- Florida Center North, Orlando, FL D+24
- Mandarin Station-Losco, Jacksonville, FL R+24
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.