Bagley Downs, Vancouver, WA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Bagley Downs

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Bagley Downs leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.

 

About 38% of adults in Bagley Downs typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bagley Downs, ~23% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Bagley Downs compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bagley Downs leans more Democratic than 14 of 23 neighbors.

Politically, Bagley Downs sits close to the rest of Washington.

Why Bagley Downs leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Bagley Downs. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Bagley Downs, Vancouver, WA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Bagley Downs looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 80% of households in Bagley Downs rent, about 55 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 79% of adults in Bagley Downs have completed high school, below 87% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Bagley Downs sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.