South Hero leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 90% of adults in South Hero typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Hero, ~55% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Hero compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South Hero leans more Democratic than 68 of 76 neighbors.
South Hero runs about 11 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Why South Hero leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Hero, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 62% of adults in South Hero hold a bachelor's degree, about 33 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; South Hero, VT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in South Hero looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. South Hero is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in South Hero have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Grand Isle, VT D+13
- Miltonboro, VT R+9
- West Milton, VT R+5
- Valcour, NY R+8
- Plattsburgh, NY D+15
- Colchester, VT D+12
- Milton, VT R+9
- Laphams Mills, NY R+10
- Port Kent, NY R+14
- Georgia, VT R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ballentine, SC R+25
- Ridgedale, MO R+56
- Grand Ronde, OR R+25
- Harmony, MN R+31
- Niland, CA R+11
- Summerville, PA R+67
- Bradner, OH R+39
- Gibson, FL Even
- Linville, VA R+50
- Kirtland Hills, OH R+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.