South Orange leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 61% of adults in South Orange typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Orange, ~35% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Orange compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, South Orange leans more Democratic than 9 of 25 neighbors.
South Orange runs about 30 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while South Orange is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within South Orange. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+28) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 29 points.
Why South Orange leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Orange, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
South Orange votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while South Orange runs about 30 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; South Orange, Orlando, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in South Orange looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 71% of households in South Orange rent, about 46 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Wadeview Park, Orlando, FL D+15
- Holden-Parramore, Orlando, FL D+71
- Rio Grande Park, Orlando, FL D+49
- Central Business District, Orlando, FL D+30
- Tymber Skan on the Lake, Orlando, FL D+43
- Park Central, Orlando, FL D+37
- Conway, Orlando, FL R+4
- Americana, Oak Ridge, FL D+57
- Mariners Village, Orlando, FL D+5
- Colonicaltown North, Orlando, FL D+39
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Westwood, Orlando, FL D+15
- Capitol View, Nashville, TN D+65
- Mornngside, Knoxville, TN D+59
- Eastmorland, Madison, WI D+71
- North Lauderdale Estates, North Lauderdale, FL D+59
- Smith Dairy West, Lake Worth, FL D+3
- Valverde, Denver, CO D+50
- Hawk's Landing, Verona, WI D+50
- Bayou Shore, Galveston, TX D+19
- Youngsville, Manchester, NH Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.