University Park-Jacksonville, Jacksonville, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in University Park-Jacksonville

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

University Park-Jacksonville leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.

 

About 45% of adults in University Park-Jacksonville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in University Park-Jacksonville, ~28% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How University Park-Jacksonville compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, University Park-Jacksonville leans more Democratic than 11 of 22 neighbors.

University Park-Jacksonville runs about 39 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while University Park-Jacksonville is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within University Park-Jacksonville. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+47) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 43 points.

Why University Park-Jacksonville leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for University Park-Jacksonville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

University Park-Jacksonville votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while University Park-Jacksonville runs about 39 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in University Park-Jacksonville have never been married, above 82% of neighborhoods.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; University Park-Jacksonville, Jacksonville, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in University Park-Jacksonville looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. University Park-Jacksonville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 12 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 62% of households in University Park-Jacksonville rent, about 37 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.