South St. Paul, MN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in South St. Paul

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

South St. Paul leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.

 

About 74% of adults in South St. Paul typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South St. Paul, ~44% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How South St. Paul compares

Among cities within 25 miles, South St. Paul leans more Democratic than 55 of 100 neighbors.

South St. Paul runs about 14 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within South St. Paul. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+27) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+9), a spread of about 18 points.

Why South St. Paul leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South St. Paul, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 97% of residents in South St. Paul live in densely developed areas, about 61 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and South St. Paul sits in the top quarter (about 33%, above 79% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in South St. Paul have never been married, above 90% of cities.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; South St. Paul, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in South St. Paul looks the way it does

Turnout in South St. Paul sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.