Downtown Little Rock is a Democratic stronghold. About 85% of voters here vote Democratic and 15% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Downtown Little Rock typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Downtown Little Rock, ~46% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Downtown Little Rock compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Downtown Little Rock leans more Democratic than 4 of 8 neighbors.
Downtown Little Rock runs about 100 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Downtown Little Rock is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Downtown Little Rock. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+87) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+44), a spread of about 43 points.
Why Downtown Little Rock leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Downtown Little Rock, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Downtown Little Rock votes against the grain of Arkansas. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Downtown Little Rock runs about 100 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in Downtown Little Rock have never been married, above 82% of neighborhoods.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Downtown Little Rock, Little Rock, AR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Downtown Little Rock looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Downtown Little Rock sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- South End, Little Rock, AR D+92
- Stephens, Little Rock, AR D+71
- Hillcrest, Little Rock, AR D+43
- Oak Forest, Little Rock, AR D+81
- Heights, Little Rock, AR D+19
- Boyle Park, Little Rock, AR D+58
- Wakefield, Little Rock, AR D+71
- Briarwood, Little Rock, AR D+49
- Midtown, Little Rock, AR D+32
- Upper Baseline, Little Rock, AR D+61
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Aurora Hills, Aurora, CO D+27
- Colonial Heights, Yonkers, NY D+19
- Dayton Triangle, Aurora, CO D+40
- College Heights Baker Street, Bakersfield, CA D+15
- Fishers Landing East, Vancouver, WA D+26
- Belmont, Lincoln, NE D+8
- Elwood, East Northport, NY R+8
- Downtown Marion, Marion, OH R+21
- Stella Mann, Tucson, AZ D+12
- Villa Park, Denver, CO D+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.