College Heights Baker Street, Bakersfield, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in College Heights Baker Street

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

College Heights Baker Street leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.

 

About 31% of adults in College Heights Baker Street typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in College Heights Baker Street, ~18% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~69% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How College Heights Baker Street compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, College Heights Baker Street leans more Democratic than 10 of 14 neighbors.

College Heights Baker Street runs about 5 points more Republican than California as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within College Heights Baker Street. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+22) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+10), a spread of about 12 points.

Why College Heights Baker Street leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for College Heights Baker Street, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in College Heights Baker Street live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 54% of adults in College Heights Baker Street have never been married, above 87% of neighborhoods.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; College Heights Baker Street, Bakersfield, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in College Heights Baker Street looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. College Heights Baker Street is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 36%, about 25 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 78% of households in College Heights Baker Street rent, compared to around 55% in nearby neighborhoods. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 43% of adults in College Heights Baker Street report food insecurity, above 96% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.