Stoddert leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Stoddert typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stoddert, ~28% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stoddert compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stoddert leans more Republican than 20 of 58 neighbors.
Stoddert runs about 29 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Stoddert is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Stoddert. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Stoddert leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stoddert, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Stoddert votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Stoddert runs about 29 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Stoddert sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 78% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Stoddert are family households, above 77% of cities.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Stoddert, VA does.
Why turnout in Stoddert looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Stoddert own their home, about 15 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Guinea Mills, VA R+25
- Farmville, VA D+14
- Gills, VA R+30
- Rice, VA R+12
- Hillcrest, VA R+14
- Sunny Side, VA R+25
- Tuggle, VA R+25
- Trent Mill, VA R+18
- Jetersville, VA R+44
- Cumberland, VA R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zuehl, TX R+40
- Freeman, VA D+28
- Ketchums Corner, NY R+13
- Nobility, TX R+72
- Plattekill, NY R+16
- Beacon, IA R+50
- Bruno, OK R+77
- Hinkley, CA R+41
- New Kingstown, PA R+14
- Langston, MI R+43
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.