Hinkley leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Hinkley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hinkley, ~16% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hinkley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hinkley leans more Republican than 7 of 9 neighbors.
Hinkley runs about 61 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Hinkley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hinkley. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+50) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+36), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Hinkley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hinkley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hinkley votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Hinkley runs about 61 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Hinkley sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 85% of cities). Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Hinkley sits in the bottom quarter (about 10%, below 93% of cities).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hinkley, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Hinkley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hinkley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 35% of households in Hinkley rent, above 90% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in Hinkley report food insecurity, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lenwood, CA R+23
- Hodge, CA R+32
- Barstow, CA R+13
- Lockhart, CA R+48
- Nebo Center, CA R+23
- Helendale, CA R+29
- Daggett, CA R+34
- Yermo, CA R+49
- Oro Grande, CA R+18
- Boron, CA R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zuehl, TX R+40
- Nobility, TX R+72
- New Kingstown, PA R+14
- Langston, MI R+43
- Quechee, VT D+12
- Freeman, VA D+28
- Stoddert, VA R+23
- Bruno, OK R+77
- Patman, TX R+76
- Ketchums Corner, NY R+13
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.