Trent Mill leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Trent Mill typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Trent Mill, ~27% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Trent Mill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Trent Mill leans more Republican than 20 of 70 neighbors.
Trent Mill runs about 24 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Trent Mill is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Trent Mill. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+34) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+12), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Trent Mill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Trent Mill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Trent Mill live in densely developed areas, about 21 points below the Virginia average of 26%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Trent Mill sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 82% of cities). Trent Mill runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Trent Mill, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Trent Mill looks the way it does
Turnout in Trent Mill sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cumberland, VA R+21
- Hillcrest, VA R+14
- Oak Forest, VA R+35
- Guinea Mills, VA R+25
- Sunny Side, VA R+25
- Alpha, VA R+20
- Lakeside Village, VA R+40
- Curdsville, VA R+27
- Ballsville, VA R+52
- New Canton, VA R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Owings, WV R+63
- Stockdale, OH R+63
- Merwin, MO R+68
- Crown Point Center, NY R+37
- Minaville, NY R+40
- Otisfield, ME R+24
- Corwith, IA R+52
- Stephen Creek, TX R+63
- Engle Mill, MD R+52
- Lenora, KS R+83
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.