Sugar Creek leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Sugar Creek typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sugar Creek, ~26% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sugar Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sugar Creek leans more Republican than 36 of 87 neighbors.
Sugar Creek runs about 7 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Sugar Creek. The north side is the most split-leaning (R+44) and the southwest side is the least split-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 41 points.
Why Sugar Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sugar Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Sugar Creek votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 75%, far above the Missouri average of 22%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Sugar Creek, MO does.
Why turnout in Sugar Creek looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Sugar Creek is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Independence, MO Even
- Birmingham, MO R+40
- Avondale, MO Even
- Kansas City, MO D+6
- Claycomo, MO R+11
- Glenaire, MO R+20
- Pleasant Valley, MO R+8
- North Kansas City, MO D+32
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tappahannock, VA Even
- Roosevelt Park, MI D+7
- Bauxite, AR R+65
- New Bremen, OH R+63
- Oglethorpe, GA D+23
- Lookout Mountain, GA R+43
- North Richmond, CA D+53
- Riverdale, MD D+63
- Appling, GA R+45
- Lone Jack, MO R+48
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.