Surry leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Surry typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Surry, ~49% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Surry compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Surry leans more Democratic than 56 of 61 neighbors.
Surry runs about 10 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Surry. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+30) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 47 points.
Why Surry leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Surry, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 45% of residents in Surry are Black or African American, about 30 points above the Virginia average of 15%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Surry, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Surry looks the way it does
Turnout in Surry sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Moorings, VA R+11
- Elberon, VA R+14
- Rushmere, VA Even
- Centerville, VA D+3
- Pons, VA R+25
- Dendron, VA R+10
- Jamestown, VA Even
- Williamsburg, VA D+16
- Skipwith Farms, VA D+15
- Claremont, VA R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wister, OK R+70
- Bowling Green, VA R+23
- Oakman, AL R+83
- Fort Gay, WV R+68
- Center, CO D+6
- Thaxton, VA R+58
- Blossvale, NY R+39
- Paisley, FL R+62
- Carrier Mills, IL R+52
- Clear Lake, WI R+41
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.