Williamsburg leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Williamsburg typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Williamsburg, ~51% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Williamsburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Williamsburg leans more Democratic than 73 of 78 neighbors.
Williamsburg runs about 10 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Williamsburg. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+23) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Williamsburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Williamsburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 50% of adults in Williamsburg hold a bachelor's degree, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Williamsburg sits in the top fifth on density (about 55%, above 88% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 32% of adults in Williamsburg have never been married, above 80% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Williamsburg, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Williamsburg looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Williamsburg is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Skipwith Farms, VA D+15
- Centerville, VA D+3
- Lightfoot, VA R+7
- Jamestown, VA Even
- Lackey, VA D+4
- Toano, VA R+4
- Clay Bank, VA R+50
- Rustic, VA R+16
- Surry, VA D+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Holland, MI Even
- Greenwood, IN R+29
- Santa Monica, CA D+56
- South Gate, CA D+36
- Gulfport, MS Even
- Loveland, CO Even
- Missoula, MT D+25
- Auburn, WA D+18
- Westminster, CA R+5
- Jackson, MI Even
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.