Elberon leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Elberon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elberon, ~35% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elberon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elberon leans more Republican than 22 of 54 neighbors.
Elberon runs about 19 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Elberon is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elberon. The southeast side is the most split-leaning (R+22) and the northwest side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Elberon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elberon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elberon votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Elberon runs about 19 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Elberon, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Elberon looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Elberon is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Moorings, VA R+11
- Pons, VA R+25
- Dendron, VA R+10
- Surry, VA D+16
- Rushmere, VA Even
- Raynor, VA R+32
- Comet, VA R+23
- Wakefield, VA Even
- Ivor, VA R+33
- Spring Grove, VA R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pinehurst, GA R+34
- Rose Valley, WA R+28
- Viola, DE R+33
- Morales, TX R+73
- Latimer, IA R+51
- Lily Pond, GA R+74
- Pultneyville, NY R+17
- Natalbany, LA R+47
- Sugar Tree Ridge, OH R+68
- Baggs, WY R+76
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.