Buena Vista leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 15% of adults in Buena Vista typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buena Vista, ~4% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~85% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Buena Vista compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Buena Vista leans more Republican than 1 of 18 neighbors.
Buena Vista runs about 36 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why Buena Vista leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Buena Vista, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 3% of adults in Buena Vista hold a bachelor's degree, about 22 points below the Arizona average of 25%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Buena Vista sits in the bottom quarter on density (fewer than 1%, in the bottom fraction of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Buena Vista are family households, above 87% of cities.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Buena Vista, AZ does.
Why turnout in Buena Vista looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Buena Vista is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Buena Vista report food insecurity, above 84% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 71% of adults in Buena Vista have completed high school, below 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- San Jose, AZ R+47
- Solomon, AZ R+60
- Lone Star, AZ R+53
- Cactus Flat, AZ R+60
- Safford, AZ R+44
- Swift Trail Junction, AZ R+55
- Thatcher, AZ R+57
- Central, AZ R+63
- Pima, AZ R+67
Cities with Similar Populations
- Randolph, NE R+67
- Morgan, PA R+17
- Claverack, NY R+5
- Myra, WI R+42
- Tildenville, FL D+13
- Mulberry Grove, IL R+44
- Carville, LA D+37
- Perrysville, IN R+62
- Goldsboro, GA R+68
- Highland, VA R+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.