The Flats is a Democratic stronghold. About 84% of voters here vote Democratic and 16% Republican.
About 55% of adults in The Flats typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in The Flats, ~47% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How The Flats compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, The Flats leans more Democratic than 5 of 12 neighbors.
The Flats runs about 53 points more Democratic than Delaware as a whole.
Why The Flats leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for The Flats, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in The Flats live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in The Flats have never been married, above 90% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; The Flats, Wilmington, DE sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in The Flats looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. The Flats is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 15 points below the Delaware average of 63%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in The Flats report food insecurity, above 85% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and The Flats sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Hilltop, Wilmington, DE D+64
- Hedgeville, Wilmington, DE D+55
- Cool Springs, Wilmington, DE D+69
- Highlands, Wilmington, DE D+50
- Browntown, Wilmington, DE D+71
- Downtown, Wilmington, DE D+83
- Brandywine Village, Wilmington, DE D+79
- Baynard Village, Wilmington, DE D+80
- 9th Ward, Wilmington, DE D+85
- Northwest Wilmington, Wilmington, DE D+75
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Johnson's Woods, Milwaukee, WI D+25
- Northside Hester Park, St. Cloud, MN D+20
- Lindenwood, Norfolk, VA D+80
- Mount Healthy Heights, Cincinnati, OH D+26
- New Auburn, Auburn, ME R+2
- Highlands-Kirkland, Kirkland, WA D+45
- Downtown Wyandotte, Wyandotte, MI Even
- McGovern Park, Milwaukee, WI D+82
- Tri-Court, Lincoln, NE D+5
- Palmer Heights, Easton, PA R+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Delaware Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.