Earle leans heavily Democratic by roughly 50 points: about 75% of voters vote Democratic and 25% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Earle typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Earle, ~45% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Earle compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Earle leans more Democratic than 58 of 60 neighbors.
Earle runs about 81 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Earle is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Earle. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+65) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 75 points.
Why Earle leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Earle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Earle votes against the grain of Arkansas. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Earle runs about 81 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 57% of adults in Earle have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Earle, AR does.
Why turnout in Earle looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Earle is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 37%, about 15 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 47% of households in Earle rent, compared to around 30% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 48% of adults in Earle report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Norvell, AR D+33
- Lansing, AR D+15
- Parkin, AR D+5
- Three Forks, AR R+23
- Crawfordsville, AR R+19
- Jennette, AR Even
- Gladden, AR D+6
- Shell Lake, AR R+11
- Vincent, AR R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gallatin Gateway, MT Even
- Newville, AL R+52
- Sister Bay, WI D+24
- Port Trevorton, PA R+67
- Porter Corners, NY R+20
- Rockfield, KY R+51
- Point Marion, PA R+49
- Ventress, LA R+44
- Rozet, WY R+83
- Elkton, FL R+51
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.