Three Points leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Three Points typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Three Points, ~20% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Three Points compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Three Points leans more Republican than 10 of 16 neighbors.
Three Points runs about 52 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Three Points is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Three Points. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Three Points leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Three Points, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Three Points votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Three Points runs about 52 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Three Points, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Three Points looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 21% of adults in Three Points report food insecurity, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sandberg, CA R+28
- Lake Hughes, CA R+27
- Del Sur, CA R+33
- Willow Springs, CA R+41
- Leona Valley, CA R+39
- Lebec, CA R+32
- Castaic, CA R+7
- Quartz Hill, CA R+16
- Santa Clarita, CA Even
- Agua Dulce, CA R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fredonia, TX R+72
- Madrid, CO Even
- Chalklevel, TN R+66
- Beech Grove, AR R+68
- Eurekaton, TN R+44
- Sandoval, TX R+59
- Lafourche, LA R+81
- Shingleton, MI R+27
- Honobia, OK R+73
- Nolo, PA R+63
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.