Tipton leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 35% of adults in Tipton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tipton, ~16% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~65% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tipton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tipton leans more Republican than 7 of 25 neighbors.
Tipton runs about 27 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Tipton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tipton. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+49), a spread of about 57 points.
Why Tipton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tipton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 7% of adults in Tipton hold a bachelor's degree, about 28 points below the California average of 35%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 85% of residents in Tipton drive to work alone, above 81% of cities. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Tipton are family households, above 87% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Tipton, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Tipton looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tipton is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 21 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 74% of households in Tipton rent, compared to around 49% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 42% of adults in Tipton report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pixley, CA R+9
- Tulare, CA R+16
- Waukena, CA R+48
- Earlimart, CA D+4
- Nanceville, CA R+45
- Corcoran, CA D+10
- Strathmore, CA R+18
- Porterville, CA R+9
- Alpaugh, CA R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Norway, MI R+31
- Newbury, MA D+25
- Conway, NH Even
- Driggs, ID R+18
- Glenwood, MD D+10
- Mountain Iron, MN R+13
- Oswichee, AL Even
- Castlewood, VA R+71
- Bear Creek, NC R+48
- Watertown, FL R+20
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.