Alpaugh leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 20% of adults in Alpaugh typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Alpaugh, ~8% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~80% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Alpaugh compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Alpaugh leans more Republican than 10 of 11 neighbors.
Alpaugh runs about 39 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Alpaugh is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Alpaugh. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+20) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Alpaugh leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Alpaugh, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 4% of adults in Alpaugh hold a bachelor's degree, about 30 points below the California average of 35%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 84% of households in Alpaugh are family households, above 95% of cities. Alpaugh runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Alpaugh, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Alpaugh looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Alpaugh is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 18 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 59% of households in Alpaugh rent, about 34 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 41% of adults in Alpaugh report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Earlimart, CA D+4
- Pixley, CA R+9
- Corcoran, CA D+10
- Delano, CA D+11
- Tipton, CA R+7
- Waukena, CA R+48
- McFarland, CA D+9
- Wasco, CA Even
- Richgrove, CA R+13
- Lost Hills, CA D+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Japan, MO R+63
- Wyatt, MO R+42
- Ruff Creek, PA R+51
- Lava, NY D+7
- Ferda, AR R+15
- Royalton, WI R+46
- Mooreton, ND R+47
- Lamoille, NV R+64
- Lancaster Crossroads, NC R+25
- Prather, GA R+9
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.