Earlimart is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 35% of adults in Earlimart typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Earlimart, ~18% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~65% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Earlimart compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Earlimart leans more Democratic than 15 of 19 neighbors.
Earlimart runs about 16 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Earlimart. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+20), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Earlimart leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Earlimart. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Earlimart, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Earlimart looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Earlimart is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 18 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 49% of households in Earlimart rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 42% of adults in Earlimart report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pixley, CA R+9
- Delano, CA D+11
- Alpaugh, CA R+19
- Richgrove, CA R+13
- Tipton, CA R+7
- Ducor, CA R+31
- McFarland, CA D+9
- Terra Bella, CA R+15
- Nanceville, CA R+45
- Porterville, CA R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Countryside, VA D+21
- Mineola, TX R+60
- Union Park, FL D+5
- Warr Acres, OK D+3
- Independence, KS R+36
- Santa Teresa, NM R+4
- Westlake, LA R+58
- Port Salerno, FL R+19
- Maxton, NC R+11
- Middlefield, OH R+53
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.