Tolona is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Tolona typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tolona, ~10% vote Democratic, ~70% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tolona compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tolona leans more Republican than 36 of 37 neighbors.
Tolona runs about 55 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Tolona leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tolona, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Tolona live in densely developed areas, about 17 points below the Missouri average of 22%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Tolona fits that profile on both counts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Tolona are family households, above 76% of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Tolona, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Tolona looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in Tolona own their home, about 15 points above the Missouri average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ewing, MO R+73
- Lewistown, MO R+70
- New Court Village, MO R+71
- Durham, MO R+73
- Steffenville, MO R+74
- Monticello, MO R+72
- Nelsonville, MO R+74
- Maywood, MO R+71
- La Belle, MO R+62
- Sellers, MO R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Whiteson, OR R+32
- Pineridge, CA R+44
- Sandy Huff, WV R+75
- Ripley, IN R+62
- Calverton, VA R+21
- Whitney, NE R+71
- Mamakating Park, NY R+23
- Lambs Corner, NY R+25
- Clockville, NY R+30
- Nathan, AR R+73
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.