Toluca Lake leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Toluca Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Toluca Lake, ~48% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Toluca Lake compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Toluca Lake leans more Democratic than 4 of 10 neighbors.
Toluca Lake runs about 17 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Toluca Lake. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+50) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+26), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Toluca Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Toluca Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Toluca Lake live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Toluca Lake sits in the top quarter (about 58%, above 78% of neighborhoods).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Toluca Lake, North Hollywood, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Toluca Lake looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Toluca Lake is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Toluca Lake have completed high school, above 88% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Glendale, Los Angeles, CA D+47
- Beverly Glen, Studio City, CA D+40
- Garnsey, Valley Village, CA D+35
- Hollywood Hills, Los Angeles, CA D+57
- Riverside Rancho, Glendale, CA D+38
- Grandview, Glendale, CA Even
- Hollywood, Los Angeles, CA D+51
- El Miradero, Glendale, CA D+2
- Los Feliz, Los Angeles, CA D+64
- Glenwood, Glendale, CA D+12
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- South Forest Park, Everett, WA D+19
- Tiger Hole-Secret Woods, Jacksonville, FL R+17
- Garden District, Sandusky, OH D+14
- Winnona Park, Decatur, GA D+69
- Clarkdale, Culver City, CA D+38
- Colonial Village, Teaneck, NJ D+29
- Granville Historic District, Granville, OH Even
- Neponset, Boston, MA D+37
- Fremont Park, Glendale, CA D+12
- Cannon Heights, Dalton, GA D+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.