Tonalea, UT Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Tonalea

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Tonalea is a Democratic stronghold. About 78% of voters here vote Democratic and 22% Republican.

 

About 56% of adults in Tonalea typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tonalea, ~44% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Tonalea compares

Tonalea runs about 77 points more Democratic than Utah as a whole. Utah leans Republican overall, while Tonalea is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Why Tonalea leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tonalea, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Tonalea votes against the grain of Utah. Utah leans Republican overall, while Tonalea runs about 77 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 71% of adults in Tonalea have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Tonalea, UT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Tonalea looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tonalea is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 24 points below the Utah average of 68%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 41% of households in Tonalea rent, compared to around 23% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 46% of adults in Tonalea report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

All Local Stats

Home Services

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.