Kaibito, AZ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Kaibito

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Kaibito leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.

 

About 53% of adults in Kaibito typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kaibito, ~35% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Kaibito compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Kaibito leans more Democratic than 1 of 3 neighbors.

Kaibito runs about 40 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Kaibito is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kaibito. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+45) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+32), a spread of about 13 points.

Why Kaibito leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kaibito, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Kaibito votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Kaibito runs about 40 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 43% of adults in Kaibito have never been married, above 95% of cities.

Food insecurity and voter turnout

Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Kaibito, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.

Why turnout in Kaibito looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kaibito is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 33%, about 21 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 47% of adults in Kaibito report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 74% of adults in Kaibito have completed high school, below 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.