Tsegi leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Tsegi typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tsegi, ~35% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tsegi compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tsegi is the least Democratic-leaning.
Tsegi runs about 35 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Tsegi is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tsegi. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+37) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+24), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Tsegi leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tsegi, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 43% of adults in Tsegi have never been married, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 28%). Tsegi runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Tsegi, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Tsegi looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tsegi is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 34%, about 21 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 46% of adults in Tsegi report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 70% of adults in Tsegi have completed high school, below 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Shonto, AZ D+41
- Kaibito, AZ D+34
- Tonalea, AZ D+41
- Tonalea, UT D+56
- Red Lake, AZ D+47
- Kayenta, AZ D+49
- Tes Nez Iah, AZ D+51
- Lechee, AZ D+11
- Oljato-Monument Valley, AZ D+49
- Monument Valley, UT D+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Nesmith, SC D+51
- Davey, NE R+39
- Toccopola, MS R+74
- Plato, MN R+56
- Slidell, TX R+68
- Logan, NM R+67
- Kress, TX R+50
- Jarreau, LA R+66
- Rayle, GA R+38
- Moenave, AZ D+49
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.