Town Line leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 93% of adults in Town Line typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Town Line, ~33% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Town Line compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Town Line leans more Republican than 47 of 107 neighbors.
Town Line runs about 40 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Town Line is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Town Line. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Town Line leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Town Line, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Town Line votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Town Line runs about 40 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Town Line runs against that pattern.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Town Line, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Town Line looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Town Line is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Town Line own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Alden, NY R+29
- Wende, NY R+28
- Lancaster, NY R+13
- Marilla, NY R+36
- Williston, NY R+42
- Elma, NY R+26
- DePew, NY R+8
- Bowmansville, NY R+11
- Clarence, NY R+9
- South Newstead, NY R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Eleroy, IL R+41
- Daleville, PA R+28
- Little Walnut, OH R+56
- San Perlita, TX R+45
- Chriesman, TX R+67
- North Bristol, WI D+3
- Hunt, AR R+63
- North Milford, MA D+10
- Locust Corners, MI R+53
- Brunersburg, OH R+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.