Trade City is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Trade City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Trade City, ~9% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Trade City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Trade City leans more Republican than 114 of 175 neighbors.
Trade City runs about 65 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Trade City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Trade City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Trade City, about 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 89% of households in Trade City are family households, in the top fraction of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Trade City, PA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Trade City looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 67% of adults in Trade City have completed high school, about 23 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Trade City sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Trade City sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Smicksburg, PA R+67
- Georgeville, PA R+68
- Plumville, PA R+65
- Dayton, PA R+69
- Porter, PA R+73
- Hamilton, PA R+71
- Covode, PA R+68
- Beyer, PA R+63
- Home, PA R+60
- Valier, PA R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shady Glen, CA R+22
- Madisonville, MO R+70
- Sugar Grove, AR R+72
- Gifford, KY R+62
- Jacksonville, NJ R+27
- Sulphur Springs, IA R+50
- Rulo, NE R+62
- Gilman, VT R+34
- Marshfield, ME R+32
- Riverside, WY R+48
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.