Troy leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Troy typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Troy, ~19% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Troy compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Troy leans more Republican than 38 of 61 neighbors.
Troy runs about 41 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Troy is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Troy. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+31), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Troy leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Troy, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Troy votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Troy runs about 41 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Troy, MN sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Troy looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 5% of homes in Troy have more than one occupant per room, above 89% of cities. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Troy sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Saratoga, MN R+38
- Chatfield, MN R+30
- Fountain, MN R+37
- Cummingsville, MN R+33
- Utica, MN R+43
- St. Charles, MN R+30
- Fremont, MN R+46
- Lanesboro, MN R+21
- Peterson, MN R+32
- Dover, MN R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Whiteville, LA R+60
- Booth, OH R+62
- Hessville, NY R+48
- Imlaystown, NJ R+31
- Freewill, TN R+64
- Ihlen, MN R+62
- Stratford, SD R+61
- Swords, LA R+18
- Ellamore, WV R+64
- Middleton, TX R+74
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.