Trumann is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Trumann typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Trumann, ~14% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Trumann compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Trumann leans more Republican than 17 of 69 neighbors.
Trumann runs about 21 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Trumann. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+47), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Trumann leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Trumann, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Trumann votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 37%, well above the Arkansas average of 13%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Trumann sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 91% of cities).
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Trumann, AR does.
Why turnout in Trumann looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Trumann is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 7 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 42% of households in Trumann rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in Trumann have completed high school, below 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Maple Grove, AR R+62
- Stacy, AR R+54
- Tulot, AR R+56
- Elm Grove, AR R+65
- Promised Land, AR R+72
- Shady Grove, AR R+74
- Bay, AR R+64
- Lunsford, AR R+68
- Hergett, AR R+59
- Black Oak, AR R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mulvane, KS R+42
- Terrebonne, OR R+38
- Hinckley, OH R+35
- Georgetown, MA D+6
- Fredericktown, MO R+60
- Mango, FL R+3
- Tecumseh, OK R+53
- Round Lake Park, IL D+16
- Bow, NH D+12
- Fowler, CA R+13
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.