Tulia leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Tulia typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tulia, ~16% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tulia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tulia leans more Republican than 2 of 9 neighbors.
Tulia runs about 30 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tulia. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+68) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 42 points.
Why Tulia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tulia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tulia votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 44%, modestly above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Tulia sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 80% of cities).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Tulia, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Tulia looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tulia is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 10 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in Tulia rent, above 93% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 79% of adults in Tulia have completed high school, below 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kress, TX R+50
- Happy, TX R+79
- Vigo Park, TX R+71
- Nazareth, TX R+74
- Edmonson, TX R+78
- Hart, TX R+39
- Ogg, TX R+80
- Plainview, TX R+40
- Wayside, TX R+81
- Seth Ward, TX R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kimberly, AL R+67
- Laurel Bay, SC R+17
- Tupper Lake, NY R+12
- East Petersburg, PA R+6
- New Gloucester, ME R+17
- Satsuma, FL R+58
- Edgartown, MA D+33
- Tontitown, AR R+27
- Bristol, VT D+20
- Cloverdale, IN R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.