Tupper Lake leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Tupper Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tupper Lake, ~30% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tupper Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tupper Lake leans more Republican than 15 of 21 neighbors.
Tupper Lake runs about 24 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Tupper Lake is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tupper Lake. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+20) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Tupper Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tupper Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tupper Lake votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 20%, well below the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Tupper Lake runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Tupper Lake, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Tupper Lake looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Tupper Lake is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 59%, below 61% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Moody, NY R+19
- Merrilville, NY R+14
- Piercefield, NY R+17
- Coreys, NY D+14
- Childwold, NY R+16
- Saranac Inn, NY R+9
- Lake Clear, NY D+21
- Upper St. Regis, NY D+18
- Saranac Lake, NY D+26
- Paul Smiths, NY D+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- East Petersburg, PA R+6
- Bristol, VT D+20
- Tulia, TX R+43
- Kimberly, AL R+67
- Vermont Heights, FL R+40
- Laurel Bay, SC R+17
- Ottawa Hills, OH D+24
- Edgartown, MA D+33
- Tontitown, AR R+27
- New Gloucester, ME R+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.