Kirkmansville, KY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Kirkmansville

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Kirkmansville is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.

 

About 74% of adults in Kirkmansville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kirkmansville, ~12% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Kirkmansville compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Kirkmansville leans more Republican than 70 of 78 neighbors.

Kirkmansville runs about 38 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.

Why Kirkmansville leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kirkmansville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Kirkmansville, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 12% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Kentucky average of 19%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Kirkmansville sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 79% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Kirkmansville are family households, above 79% of cities.

Population density and Republican lean

Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Kirkmansville, KY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Kirkmansville looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Kirkmansville own their home, about 14 points above the Kentucky average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.