University Park leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 58% of adults in University Park typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in University Park, ~20% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How University Park compares
Among cities within 25 miles, University Park leans more Republican than 70 of 81 neighbors.
University Park runs about 20 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within University Park. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+21) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+48), a spread of about 69 points.
Why University Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for University Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
University Park votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as University Park, FL does.
Why turnout in University Park looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. University Park is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 29%, about 14 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 40% of households in University Park rent, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sweetwater, FL R+38
- Westwood Lakes, FL R+43
- Westchester, FL R+42
- Fountainebleau, FL R+30
- Tamiami, FL R+43
- Sunset, FL R+31
- Coral Terrace, FL R+34
- Kendale Lakes, FL R+39
- West Miami, FL R+29
- Glenvar Heights, FL R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Reisterstown, MD D+28
- Placerville, CA R+21
- Pasadena, MD R+12
- Foster City, CA D+50
- Boone, NC D+20
- Fair Oaks, VA D+40
- Ambler, PA D+25
- Foley, AL R+49
- Williston, ND R+58
- Melrose Park, IL D+22
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.