Upper Arlington, OH Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Upper Arlington

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Upper Arlington leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.

 

About 97% of adults in Upper Arlington typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Upper Arlington, ~63% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~3% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Upper Arlington compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Upper Arlington leans more Democratic than 84 of 90 neighbors.

Upper Arlington runs about 42 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Upper Arlington is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Upper Arlington. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+43) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+25), a spread of about 18 points.

Why Upper Arlington leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Upper Arlington, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 79% of adults in Upper Arlington hold a bachelor's degree, about 51 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Upper Arlington sits in the top fifth on density (about 99%, in the top fraction of cities). Upper Arlington runs against the grain of Ohio, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Upper Arlington, OH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Upper Arlington looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Upper Arlington is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 78%, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Upper Arlington have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.