Normandy Isles is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 43% of adults in Normandy Isles typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Normandy Isles, ~21% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Normandy Isles compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Normandy Isles leans more Republican than 4 of 7 neighbors.
Normandy Isles runs about 9 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Why Normandy Isles leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Normandy Isles. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Normandy Isles, North Bay Village, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Normandy Isles looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Normandy Isles is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 20%, about 5 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 77% of households in Normandy Isles rent, compared to around 61% in nearby neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Normandy Isles sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- North Shores, North Bay Village, FL R+7
- Oceanfront, Miami Beach, FL R+7
- Upper Eastside, Miami, FL D+25
- Bayshore, Miami Beach, FL R+4
- Little Haiti, Miami, FL D+54
- City Center, Miami Beach, FL D+14
- West Avenue, Miami Beach, FL D+5
- Wynwood, Miami, FL D+12
- Flamingo-Lummus, Miami Beach, FL D+17
- South Beach Miami Beach, Miami Beach, FL R+5
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Southeast, Helena, MT D+22
- Rancho El Dorado, Silver Bell, AZ R+6
- Little Italy, San Diego, CA D+40
- Kashmere Gardens, Houston, TX D+70
- Pocono Farms, Tobyhanna, PA D+28
- Greenwood Forest, Houston, TX D+11
- Nevin Community, Charlotte, NC D+67
- Center Bluff, Peoria, IL D+47
- Valencia, Buckeye, AZ R+14
- Fairgrounds, New Orleans, LA D+68
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.