Valley County is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Valley County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valley County, ~12% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valley County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Valley County leans more Republican than 4 of 8 neighbors.
Valley County runs about 47 points more Republican than Nebraska as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Valley County. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+62), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Valley County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valley County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Valley County sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 7 points above the Nebraska average of 88%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Valley County, NE sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Valley County looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 95% of adults in Valley County have completed high school, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Garfield County, NE R+66
- Greeley County, NE R+68
- Sherman County, NE R+64
- Wheeler County, NE R+72
- Loup County, NE R+72
- Howard County, NE R+64
- Custer County, NE R+68
- Boone County, NE R+64
- Hall County, NE R+26
- Nance County, NE R+60
Counties with Similar Populations
- Meade County, KS R+68
- Owsley County, KY R+74
- Stafford County, KS R+66
- Union County, NM R+52
- Schuyler County, MO R+67
- LaMoure County, ND R+57
- Dunn County, ND R+53
- Nuckolls County, NE R+60
- Storey County, NV R+40
- Gregory County, SD R+65
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nebraska Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.