Valley Ford leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Valley Ford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valley Ford, ~50% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valley Ford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Valley Ford leans more Democratic than 11 of 41 neighbors.
Valley Ford runs about 19 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Valley Ford. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+43) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+33), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Valley Ford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valley Ford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 47% of adults in Valley Ford hold a bachelor's degree, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 30% of adults in Valley Ford have never been married, above 75% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Valley Ford, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Valley Ford looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Valley Ford is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bodega, CA D+44
- Fallon, CA D+36
- Dillon Beach, CA D+36
- Tomales, CA D+35
- Occidental, CA D+53
- Bodega Bay, CA D+42
- Sebastopol, CA D+50
- Salmon Creek, CA D+47
- Graton, CA D+55
- Carmet, CA D+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alger, WA R+23
- Phelps, MN R+36
- Laurel Grove, TN R+68
- Stapleton, VA R+47
- Hitchcock, SD R+70
- South Orleans, MA D+31
- Sheldon, MN R+32
- Nocatee, FL R+66
- Beazley, VA R+8
- West Granville, MA R+16
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.