Valley Hill leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 99% of adults in Valley Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valley Hill, ~44% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~1% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valley Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Valley Hill leans more Republican than 15 of 57 neighbors.
Valley Hill runs about 9 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Valley Hill. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+9) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Valley Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valley Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Valley Hill votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 67%, far above the North Carolina average of 27%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Valley Hill, NC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Valley Hill looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Valley Hill is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Laurel Park, NC D+8
- Hendersonville, NC R+14
- East Flat Rock, NC R+17
- Flat Rock, NC R+22
- Etowah, NC R+16
- Zirconia, NC R+41
- Horse Shoe, NC R+19
- Penrose, NC R+24
- Hoopers Creek, NC R+36
- Mills River, NC R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- West Sunbury, PA R+56
- Prairie City, IA R+34
- Jemez Pueblo, NM D+51
- English, IN R+52
- Milo, ME R+35
- Robertsville, MO R+52
- McIntosh, AL D+16
- Shelbina, MO R+58
- Durand, IL R+35
- Crow Agency, MT D+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.