Hartford leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 46% of adults in Hartford typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hartford, ~30% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hartford compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Hartford leans more Democratic than 15 of 37 neighbors.
Hartford runs about 15 points more Democratic than Rhode Island as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Hartford. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+36) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+6), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Hartford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hartford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 49% of adults in Hartford have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 41%).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Hartford, Providence, RI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Hartford looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hartford is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 21%, about 13 points above the Rhode Island average of 8%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 37% of adults in Hartford report food insecurity, above 90% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Silver Lake, Providence, RI D+24
- Olneyville, Providence, RI D+36
- Mount Pleasant, Providence, RI D+35
- Manton, Providence, RI D+27
- Valley, Providence, RI D+38
- West End, Providence, RI D+48
- Federal Hill, Providence, RI D+60
- Elmhurst, Providence, RI D+31
- Wayland, Providence, RI D+40
- Smith Hill, Providence, RI D+47
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Adams Crossroads, Duluth, GA D+28
- SouthWest Anaheim, Anaheim, CA D+11
- Belmont Shore, Long Beach, CA D+48
- Land Park, Sacramento, CA D+63
- Westborough, South San Francisco, CA D+41
- Deep Creek West, Chesapeake, VA D+5
- University Park, Worcester, MA D+36
- Beechhurst, Queens, NY R+20
- Airport, Detroit, MI D+57
- Lawrence Park, Bronxville, NY D+22
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.